Governance · Other · Gompers, Ishii and Metrick (2003)

Governance Index

Long minus short portfolio using the original paper's sort and weighting, market-adjusted. Quarterly, 1990Q4 to 2006Q4.

Expected return · posterior mean, % per quarter
Next quarter
−0.97%
95% interval −1.93% to 0.10%
Next year
−0.92%
95% interval −1.94% to 0.15%
Next five years
−0.75%
95% interval −1.99% to 0.51%

OAP publishes no uniform quintile or decile portfolios for this signal, so only the paper's original portfolio convention is shown.

Cumulative market-adjusted return

−56% since 1990Q4 · log scale

Past performance, annualized

Window Mean Vol. Sharpe t
1990Q4–2006Q4 −4.50% 10.97% −0.41 −1.65
2002Q1–2006Q4 −9.40% 7.23% −1.30 −2.91
2006Q1–2006Q4 −2.01% 5.29% −0.38 −0.38

Forecast Sharpe ratio, per quarter

Horizon Mean 95% interval P(neg)
Next quarter −0.179 −0.353 – 0.018 0.96
Next year −0.168 −0.356 – 0.027 0.95
Next five years −0.137 −0.363 – 0.092 0.88
Category
Other
Form
Discrete
Data
Other
Predicted sign
Negative
Original sample
1990–1999