Governance · Other · Gompers, Ishii and Metrick (2003)
Governance Index
Long minus short portfolio using the original paper's sort and weighting, market-adjusted. Quarterly, 1990Q4 to 2006Q4.
Expected return · posterior mean, % per quarter
Next quarter
−0.97%
95% interval −1.93% to 0.10%
Next year
−0.92%
95% interval −1.94% to 0.15%
Next five years
−0.75%
95% interval −1.99% to 0.51%
OAP publishes no uniform quintile or decile portfolios for this signal, so only the paper's original portfolio convention is shown.
Cumulative market-adjusted return
−56% since 1990Q4 · log scale
Past performance, annualized
| Window | Mean | Vol. | Sharpe | t |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1990Q4–2006Q4 | −4.50% | 10.97% | −0.41 | −1.65 |
| 2002Q1–2006Q4 | −9.40% | 7.23% | −1.30 | −2.91 |
| 2006Q1–2006Q4 | −2.01% | 5.29% | −0.38 | −0.38 |
Forecast Sharpe ratio, per quarter
| Horizon | Mean | 95% interval | P(neg) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Next quarter | −0.179 | −0.353 – 0.018 | 0.96 |
| Next year | −0.168 | −0.356 – 0.027 | 0.95 |
| Next five years | −0.137 | −0.363 – 0.092 | 0.88 |